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Maccabi vs Bayern Munich prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, November 24

Tue, Nov 24 · 2:00 PM ETSAP GARDEN
41% win MTAwin BAY 59%
FavoriteBAY
Projected margin2.6
Projected total177
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

FC Bayern Munich (2-7) host Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv (2-7) on Tuesday, November 24 at 2:00 PM ET at SAP GARDEN in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives FC Bayern Munich a 59% chance to win and projects a 87-90 score (Maccabi – Bayern Munich), about 177 total points. This season, FC Bayern Munich are 0-4 at home and Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv are 1-4 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-7 for FC Bayern Munich and 2-7 for Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv (current streaks: Bayern Munich L4, Maccabi L3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

Bayern Munich is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Bayern Munich 90 – 87 Maccabi, a margin of about 2.6 points in favor of Bayern Munich and a total around 177 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • Maccabi needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Maccabi's offense (88.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • Bayern Munich's defense allows clearly fewer points (89.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bayern Munich
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BAY -5.2 / MTA -4.6 per game
-0.6
Home-court advantageBayern Munich at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Bayern Munich
+2.6

Scenarios

Bayern Munich win by 10+
26%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
33%
Maccabi win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

MTABAY
88.3
Points scored / game
83.3
93.7
Points allowed / game
89.4
-4.6
Adjusted margin / game
-5.2
22 %
Win %
22 %
1
Home wins
0
1
Road wins
2

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
MTA
LParis Basketball94-99LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade78-100LReal Madrid99-113WValencia Basket91-88LFC Barcelona87-90
BAY
LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade73-103LFC Barcelona84-88LDubai Basketball91-107LBesiktas Istanbul87-95WAnadolu Efes Istanbul101-93

Team comparison

MTABAY
2-7Record2-7
88.3Points scored / game83.3
93.7Points allowed / game89.4
-4.6Adjusted margin / game-5.2
L3Current streakL4
2-7Last 10 games2-7
1-4 roadHome / road record0-4 home
18-20 (-2.5)Last season17-21 (-2.9)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.