Paris vs Hapoel TLV prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, January 12
At a glance
Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (6-2) host Paris Basketball (3-6) on Tuesday, January 12 at 12:00 PM ET at ARENA 8888 SOFIA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv a 80% chance to win and projects a 85-94 score (Paris – Hapoel TLV), about 179 total points. This season, Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv are 4-1 at home and Paris Basketball are 2-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv and 3-6 for Paris Basketball (current streaks: Hapoel TLV W4, Paris W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 24% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
Hapoel TLV starts with a clear edge. The model projects Hapoel TLV 94 – 85 Paris, a margin of about 9.6 points in favor of Hapoel TLV and a total around 179 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+3.9 vs -2.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Paris needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Hapoel TLV's defense allows clearly fewer points (85.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
PBBHTA
Recent form
PBB
99-94W
99-93L
93-104L
81-90L
94-96HTA
118-88W90-81W
91-81W
100-82L82-93Team comparison
| PBB | HTA | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-6 | Record | 6-2 |
| 89.1 | Points scored / game | 90.4 |
| 92.0 | Points allowed / game | 85.8 |
| -2.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.9 |
| W2 | Current streak | W4 |
| 3-6 | Last 10 games | 6-2 |
| 2-2 road | Home / road record | 4-1 home |
| 15-23 (-0.9) | Last season | 24-18 (+1.9) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.