Hapoel TLV vs Paris prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, November 19
At a glance
Paris Basketball (3-6) host Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (6-2) on Thursday, November 19 at 2:45 PM ET at ADIDAS ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv a 61% chance to win and projects a 91-88 score (Hapoel TLV – Paris), about 179 total points. This season, Paris Basketball are 1-4 at home and Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-6 for Paris Basketball and 6-2 for Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (current streaks: Paris W2, Hapoel TLV W4). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 32% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Hapoel TLV is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Paris 88 – 91 Hapoel TLV, a margin of about 3.2 points in favor of Hapoel TLV and a total around 179 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-2.4 vs +3.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Paris needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Hapoel TLV's defense allows clearly fewer points (85.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
HTAPBB
Recent form
HTA
118-88W
90-81W
91-81W
100-82L
82-93PBB
99-94W
99-93L93-104L
81-90L94-96Team comparison
| HTA | PBB | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | Record | 3-6 |
| 90.4 | Points scored / game | 89.1 |
| 85.8 | Points allowed / game | 92.0 |
| +3.9 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.4 |
| W4 | Current streak | W2 |
| 6-2 | Last 10 games | 3-6 |
| 2-1 road | Home / road record | 1-4 home |
| 24-18 (+1.9) | Last season | 15-23 (-0.9) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.