Real Madrid vs Crvena Zvezda prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, January 12
At a glance
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (6-3) host Real Madrid (5-3) on Tuesday, January 12 at 2:00 PM ET at BELGRADE ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade a 58% chance to win and projects a 85-88 score (Real Madrid – Crvena Zvezda), about 173 total points. This season, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade are 4-2 at home and Real Madrid are 3-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-3 for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade and 5-3 for Real Madrid (current streaks: Crvena Zvezda W2, Real Madrid W5). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to Crvena Zvezda, but Real Madrid has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Crvena Zvezda 88 – 85 Real Madrid, a margin of about 2.4 points in favor of Crvena Zvezda and a total around 173 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- Real Madrid needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Real Madrid's offense (92.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Crvena Zvezda's defense allows clearly fewer points (81.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
RMBCZV
Recent form
RMB
104-86W
113-99W
111-92W
98-89W
86-76CZV
103-73W100-78L82-85W
90-81W84-82Team comparison
| RMB | CZV | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | Record | 6-3 |
| 92.2 | Points scored / game | 86.3 |
| 86.3 | Points allowed / game | 81.3 |
| +5.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.3 |
| W5 | Current streak | W2 |
| 5-3 | Last 10 games | 6-3 |
| 3-3 road | Home / road record | 4-2 home |
| 28-16 (+5.1) | Last season | 21-18 (+1.1) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.