Crvena Zvezda vs Real Madrid prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, November 12
At a glance
Real Madrid (5-3) host Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (5-3) on Thursday, November 12 at 3:00 PM ET at MOVISTAR ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Real Madrid a 68% chance to win and projects a 84-89 score (Crvena Zvezda – Real Madrid), about 173 total points. This season, Real Madrid are 2-0 at home and Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 5-3 for Real Madrid and 5-3 for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (current streaks: Real Madrid W5, Crvena Zvezda W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Real Madrid is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Real Madrid 89 – 84 Crvena Zvezda, a margin of about 5.3 points in favor of Real Madrid and a total around 173 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- Crvena Zvezda needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Real Madrid's offense (92.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Crvena Zvezda's defense allows clearly fewer points (81.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
CZVRMB
Recent form
CZV
100-78L
82-85W
90-81W
84-82W
77-58RMB
104-86W113-99W111-92W
98-89W86-76Team comparison
| CZV | RMB | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | Record | 5-3 |
| 85.3 | Points scored / game | 92.2 |
| 81.8 | Points allowed / game | 86.3 |
| +3.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.1 |
| W1 | Current streak | W5 |
| 5-3 | Last 10 games | 5-3 |
| 2-1 road | Home / road record | 2-0 home |
| 21-18 (+1.1) | Last season | 28-16 (+5.1) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.