Partizan vs Valencia prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, January 7
At a glance
Valencia Basket (6-2) host Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (4-4) on Thursday, January 7 at 2:30 PM ET at ROIG ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Valencia Basket a 82% chance to win and projects a 81-92 score (Partizan – Valencia), about 172 total points. This season, Valencia Basket are 3-2 at home and Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade are 2-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for Valencia Basket and 4-4 for Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (current streaks: Valencia W2, Partizan L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 22% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
Valencia starts with a clear edge. The model projects Valencia 92 – 81 Partizan, a margin of about 10.7 points in favor of Valencia and a total around 172 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+4.9 vs -2.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Partizan needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Valencia's offense (93.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Partizan's defense allows clearly fewer points (83.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
PARVBC
Recent form
PAR
75-82W
85-82L
65-74L
55-72L
76-86VBC86-78W
104-93L
88-91L
97-102W
93-82Team comparison
| PAR | VBC | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | Record | 6-2 |
| 79.9 | Points scored / game | 93.9 |
| 83.0 | Points allowed / game | 88.1 |
| -2.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.9 |
| L1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 4-4 | Last 10 games | 6-2 |
| 2-3 road | Home / road record | 3-2 home |
| 16-22 (-4.9) | Last season | 28-16 (+4.1) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.