Valencia vs Partizan prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, November 17
At a glance
Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (4-4) host Valencia Basket (6-2) on Tuesday, November 17 at 2:45 PM ET at BELGRADE ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Valencia Basket a 65% chance to win and projects a 88-84 score (Valencia – Partizan), about 172 total points. This season, Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade are 2-1 at home and Valencia Basket are 3-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-4 for Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade and 6-2 for Valencia Basket (current streaks: Partizan L1, Valencia W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Valencia is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Partizan 84 – 88 Valencia, a margin of about 4.3 points in favor of Valencia and a total around 172 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-2.6 vs +4.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Partizan needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Valencia's offense (93.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Partizan's defense allows clearly fewer points (83.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
VBCPAR
Recent form
VBC
86-78W
104-93L
88-91L
97-102W
93-82PAR
75-82W
85-82L65-74L
55-72L
76-86Team comparison
| VBC | PAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | Record | 4-4 |
| 93.9 | Points scored / game | 79.9 |
| 88.1 | Points allowed / game | 83.0 |
| +4.9 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.6 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 6-2 | Last 10 games | 4-4 |
| 3-0 road | Home / road record | 2-1 home |
| 28-16 (+4.1) | Last season | 16-22 (-4.9) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.