Panathinaikos vs Maccabi prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, January 7
At a glance
Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv (2-7) host Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens (7-1) on Thursday, January 7 at 12:00 PM ET at ALEKSANDAR NIKOLIC HALL in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens a 74% chance to win and projects a 91-83 score (Panathinaikos – Maccabi), about 174 total points. This season, Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv are 1-3 at home and Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens are 1-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-7 for Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv and 7-1 for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens (current streaks: Maccabi L3, Panathinaikos W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 28% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
On paper, Panathinaikos dominates this matchup. The model projects Maccabi 83 – 91 Panathinaikos, a margin of about 7.5 points in favor of Panathinaikos and a total around 174 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-4.6 vs +6.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Maccabi needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Panathinaikos' defense allows clearly fewer points (79.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
PAOMTA
Recent form
PAO
80-75W
85-79L
81-91W
72-55W
92-74MTA
94-99L
78-100L
99-113W
91-88L
87-90Team comparison
| PAO | MTA | |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | Record | 2-7 |
| 86.6 | Points scored / game | 88.3 |
| 79.5 | Points allowed / game | 93.7 |
| +6.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -4.6 |
| W2 | Current streak | L3 |
| 7-1 | Last 10 games | 2-7 |
| 1-0 road | Home / road record | 1-3 home |
| 25-19 (+1.7) | Last season | 18-20 (-2.5) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.