Paris vs Zalgiris prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, January 7
At a glance
Zalgiris Kaunas (4-4) host Paris Basketball (3-6) on Thursday, January 7 at 1:00 PM ET at ZALGIRIO ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Zalgiris Kaunas a 75% chance to win and projects a 84-92 score (Paris – Zalgiris), about 176 total points. This season, Zalgiris Kaunas are 1-2 at home and Paris Basketball are 2-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-4 for Zalgiris Kaunas and 3-6 for Paris Basketball (current streaks: Zalgiris W2, Paris W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 27% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
Zalgiris starts with a clear edge. The model projects Zalgiris 92 – 84 Paris, a margin of about 7.8 points in favor of Zalgiris and a total around 176 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+2.2 vs -2.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Paris needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Zalgiris' defense allows clearly fewer points (83.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
PBBZAL
Recent form
PBB
99-94W
99-93L
93-104L
81-90L
94-96ZAL91-74W
105-85L
70-85L
80-99W
88-81Team comparison
| PBB | ZAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-6 | Record | 4-4 |
| 89.1 | Points scored / game | 86.4 |
| 92.0 | Points allowed / game | 83.8 |
| -2.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.2 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 3-6 | Last 10 games | 4-4 |
| 2-2 road | Home / road record | 1-2 home |
| 15-23 (-0.9) | Last season | 24-18 (+3.8) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.