Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Besiktas vs FC Barcelona prediction EuroLeague · Wednesday, January 6

Wed, Jan 6 · 2:30 PM ETPALAU BLAUGRANA
32% win BJKwin BAR 68%
FavoriteBAR
Projected margin5.4
Projected total173
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

FC Barcelona (5-3) host Besiktas Istanbul (3-5) on Wednesday, January 6 at 2:30 PM ET at PALAU BLAUGRANA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives FC Barcelona a 68% chance to win and projects a 84-89 score (Besiktas – FC Barcelona), about 173 total points. This season, FC Barcelona are 2-2 at home and Besiktas Istanbul are 2-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 5-3 for FC Barcelona and 3-5 for Besiktas Istanbul (current streaks: FC Barcelona W2, Besiktas L2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to FC Barcelona, but Besiktas has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects FC Barcelona 89 – 84 Besiktas, a margin of about 5.4 points in favor of FC Barcelona and a total around 173 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • Besiktas needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge FC Barcelona
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BAR +1.2 / BJK -1.0 per game
+2.2
Home-court advantageFC Barcelona at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor FC Barcelona
+5.4

Scenarios

FC Barcelona win by 10+
34%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Besiktas win by 10+
9%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

BJKBAR
86.2
Points scored / game
87.1
87.3
Points allowed / game
85.7
-1.0
Adjusted margin / game
1.2
38 %
Win %
63 %
1
Home wins
2
2
Road wins
3

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
BJK
LOlympiacos Piraeus73-81LAnadolu Efes Istanbul80-89WFC Bayern Munich95-87LHapoel IBI Tel Aviv82-100WKosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz92-84
BAR
WFC Bayern Munich88-84WArmani Olimpia Milan89-81LOlympiacos Piraeus100-105WMaccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv90-87LZalgiris Kaunas81-88

Team comparison

BJKBAR
3-5Record5-3
86.2Points scored / game87.1
87.3Points allowed / game85.7
-1.0Adjusted margin / game+1.2
L2Current streakW2
3-5Last 10 games5-3
2-2 roadHome / road record2-2 home
–Last season22-18 (+0.8)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.