Milan vs Virtus Bologna prediction EuroLeague · Wednesday, December 30
At a glance
Virtus Bologna (4-4) host Armani Olimpia Milan (1-7) on Wednesday, December 30 at 2:30 PM ET at VIRTUS ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Virtus Bologna a 65% chance to win and projects a 84-88 score (Milan – Virtus Bologna), about 172 total points. This season, Virtus Bologna are 2-1 at home and Armani Olimpia Milan are 0-4 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-4 for Virtus Bologna and 1-7 for Armani Olimpia Milan (current streaks: Virtus Bologna L2, Milan L6). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to Virtus Bologna, but Milan has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Virtus Bologna 88 – 84 Milan, a margin of about 4.3 points in favor of Virtus Bologna and a total around 172 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- Milan needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
MILVIR
Recent form
MIL
75-80L
81-89L
97-101L
89-98L
79-97VIR
74-91L
81-90W
86-78W
96-94W
94-87Team comparison
| MIL | VIR | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-7 | Record | 4-4 |
| 84.3 | Points scored / game | 83.4 |
| 89.1 | Points allowed / game | 86.9 |
| -4.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.0 |
| L6 | Current streak | L2 |
| 1-7 | Last 10 games | 4-4 |
| 0-4 road | Home / road record | 2-1 home |
| 17-21 (-1.2) | Last season | 14-24 (-4.6) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.