Virtus Bologna vs Milan prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, September 29
At a glance
Armani Olimpia Milan (0-1) host Virtus Bologna (0-1) on Tuesday, September 29 at 2:30 PM ET at UNIPOL FORUM in EuroLeague action. Final score: Virtus Bologna 85 – Milan 87. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Armani Olimpia Milan a 68% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, Virtus Bologna are 0-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-1 for Armani Olimpia Milan and 0-1 for Virtus Bologna (current streaks: Milan L1, Virtus Bologna L1).
The analysis Model
Milan is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Milan 87 – 82 Virtus Bologna, a margin of about 5.2 points in favor of Milan and a total around 169 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- Virtus Bologna needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Milan's offense (84.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
VIRMIL
Recent form
VIR
68-78MIL
76-92Team comparison
| VIR | MIL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 0-1 |
| 80.3 | Points scored / game | 84.9 |
| 85.5 | Points allowed / game | 87.7 |
| -4.4 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.4 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 0-1 | Last 10 games | 0-1 |
| 0-1 road | Home / road record | 0-0 home |
| 14-24 (-4.6) | Last season | 17-21 (-1.2) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.