Maccabi vs Hapoel TLV prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, December 29
At a glance
Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (6-2) host Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv (2-7) on Tuesday, December 29 at 1:00 PM ET at ARENA 8888 SOFIA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv a 85% chance to win and projects a 84-95 score (Maccabi – Hapoel TLV), about 179 total points. This season, Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv are 4-1 at home and Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv are 1-4 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv and 2-7 for Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv (current streaks: Hapoel TLV W4, Maccabi L3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 21% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
On paper, Hapoel TLV dominates this matchup. The model projects Hapoel TLV 95 – 84 Maccabi, a margin of about 11.8 points in favor of Hapoel TLV and a total around 179 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+3.9 vs -4.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Maccabi needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Hapoel TLV's defense allows clearly fewer points (85.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
MTAHTA
Recent form
MTA
94-99L
78-100L
99-113W
91-88L
87-90HTA
118-88W
90-81W
91-81W
100-82L82-93Team comparison
| MTA | HTA | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-7 | Record | 6-2 |
| 88.3 | Points scored / game | 90.4 |
| 93.7 | Points allowed / game | 85.8 |
| -4.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.9 |
| L3 | Current streak | W4 |
| 2-7 | Last 10 games | 6-2 |
| 1-4 road | Home / road record | 4-1 home |
| 18-20 (-2.5) | Last season | 24-18 (+1.9) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.