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Hapoel TLV vs Maccabi prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, November 12

Thu, Nov 12 · 2:05 PM ETALEKSANDAR NIKOLIC HALL
68% win HTAwin MTA 32%
FavoriteHTA
Projected margin5.4
Projected total179
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv (2-7) host Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (6-2) on Thursday, November 12 at 2:05 PM ET at ALEKSANDAR NIKOLIC HALL in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv a 68% chance to win and projects a 92-87 score (Hapoel TLV – Maccabi), about 179 total points. This season, Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv are 1-3 at home and Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-7 for Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv and 6-2 for Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (current streaks: Maccabi L3, Hapoel TLV W4). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to Hapoel TLV, but Maccabi has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Maccabi 87 – 92 Hapoel TLV, a margin of about 5.4 points in favor of Hapoel TLV and a total around 179 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-4.6 vs +3.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • Maccabi needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Hapoel TLV's defense allows clearly fewer points (85.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Maccabi
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MTA -4.6 / HTA +3.9 per game
-8.6
Home-court advantageMaccabi at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Maccabi
-5.4

Scenarios

Maccabi win by 10+
9%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Hapoel TLV win by 10+
34%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

HTAMTA
90.4
Points scored / game
88.3
85.8
Points allowed / game
93.7
3.9
Adjusted margin / game
-4.6
75 %
Win %
22 %
4
Home wins
1
2
Road wins
1

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
HTA
WAnadolu Efes Istanbul118-88WVirtus Bologna90-81WPanathinaikos AKTOR Athens91-81WBesiktas Istanbul100-82LValencia Basket82-93
MTA
LParis Basketball94-99LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade78-100LReal Madrid99-113WValencia Basket91-88LFC Barcelona87-90

Team comparison

HTAMTA
6-2Record2-7
90.4Points scored / game88.3
85.8Points allowed / game93.7
+3.9Adjusted margin / game-4.6
W4Current streakL3
6-2Last 10 games2-7
2-1 roadHome / road record1-3 home
24-18 (+1.9)Last season18-20 (-2.5)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.