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Anadolu Efes vs Baskonia prediction EuroLeague · Wednesday, November 25

Wed, Nov 25 · 2:30 PM ETBUESA ARENA
48% win EFSwin KBA 52%
FavoriteKBA
Projected margin0.6
Projected total174
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (1-7) host Anadolu Efes Istanbul (3-5) on Wednesday, November 25 at 2:30 PM ET at BUESA ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz a 52% chance to win and projects a 87-88 score (Anadolu Efes – Baskonia), about 174 total points. This season, Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz are 1-4 at home and Anadolu Efes Istanbul are 1-4 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-7 for Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz and 3-5 for Anadolu Efes Istanbul (current streaks: Baskonia L5, Anadolu Efes L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 34% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Baskonia 88 – 87 Anadolu Efes, a margin of about 0.6 points in favor of Baskonia and a total around 174 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • Anadolu Efes needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Baskonia's offense (86.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • Anadolu Efes' defense allows clearly fewer points (86.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Baskonia
Team strength (adjusted point differential)KBA -6.5 / EFS -3.9 per game
-2.6
Home-court advantageBaskonia at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Baskonia
+0.6

Scenarios

Baskonia win by 10+
21%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
34%
Anadolu Efes win by 10+
18%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

EFSKBA
81.9
Points scored / game
86.0
86.4
Points allowed / game
93.6
-3.9
Adjusted margin / game
-6.5
38 %
Win %
13 %
2
Home wins
1
1
Road wins
0

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
EFS
LHapoel IBI Tel Aviv88-118WBesiktas Istanbul89-80WZalgiris Kaunas85-70LFC Bayern Munich93-101LOlympiacos Piraeus66-89
KBA
LReal Madrid86-104LPanathinaikos AKTOR Athens79-85LVirtus Bologna78-86LDubai Basketball79-93LBesiktas Istanbul84-92

Team comparison

EFSKBA
3-5Record1-7
81.9Points scored / game86.0
86.4Points allowed / game93.6
-3.9Adjusted margin / game-6.5
L1Current streakL5
3-5Last 10 games1-7
1-4 roadHome / road record1-4 home
12-26 (-4.2)Last season13-25 (-4.7)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.