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Partizan vs Dubai prediction EuroLeague · Wednesday, November 25

Wed, Nov 25 · 11:00 AM ETCOCA-COLA ARENA
29% win PARwin DUB 71%
FavoriteDUB
Projected margin6.2
Projected total168
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

Dubai Basketball (5-3) host Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (4-4) on Wednesday, November 25 at 11:00 AM ET at COCA-COLA ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Dubai Basketball a 71% chance to win and projects a 81-87 score (Partizan – Dubai), about 168 total points. This season, Dubai Basketball are 2-2 at home and Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade are 2-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 5-3 for Dubai Basketball and 4-4 for Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (current streaks: Dubai L1, Partizan L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 29% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to Dubai, but Partizan has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Dubai 87 – 81 Partizan, a margin of about 6.2 points in favor of Dubai and a total around 168 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.

  • Partizan needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Dubai's offense (87.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • Partizan's defense allows clearly fewer points (83.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Dubai
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DUB +0.4 / PAR -2.6 per game
+3.0
Home-court advantageDubai at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Dubai
+6.2

Scenarios

Dubai win by 10+
37%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Partizan win by 10+
8%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

PARDUB
79.9
Points scored / game
87.2
83.0
Points allowed / game
86.7
-2.6
Adjusted margin / game
0.4
50 %
Win %
63 %
2
Home wins
2
2
Road wins
3

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
PAR
LLDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne75-82WCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade85-82LFenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul65-74LPanathinaikos AKTOR Athens55-72LReal Madrid76-86
DUB
LParis Basketball93-99WFC Bayern Munich107-91WArmani Olimpia Milan101-97WKosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz93-79LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade58-77

Team comparison

PARDUB
4-4Record5-3
79.9Points scored / game87.2
83.0Points allowed / game86.7
-2.6Adjusted margin / game+0.4
L1Current streakL1
4-4Last 10 games5-3
2-3 roadHome / road record2-2 home
16-22 (-4.9)Last season19-19 (+0.1)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.