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Milan vs LDLC ASVEL prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, November 24

Tue, Nov 24 · 2:45 PM ETLDLC ARENA
46% win MILwin ASV 54%
FavoriteASV
Projected margin1.1
Projected total173
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne (3-5) host Armani Olimpia Milan (1-7) on Tuesday, November 24 at 2:45 PM ET at LDLC ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne a 54% chance to win and projects a 86-87 score (Milan – LDLC ASVEL), about 173 total points. This season, LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne are 2-2 at home and Armani Olimpia Milan are 0-4 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-5 for LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne and 1-7 for Armani Olimpia Milan (current streaks: LDLC ASVEL W1, Milan L6). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects LDLC ASVEL 87 – 86 Milan, a margin of about 1.1 points in favor of LDLC ASVEL and a total around 173 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • Milan needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge LDLC ASVEL
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ASV -6.2 / MIL -4.1 per game
-2.1
Home-court advantageLDLC ASVEL at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor LDLC ASVEL
+1.1

Scenarios

LDLC ASVEL win by 10+
22%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
33%
Milan win by 10+
17%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

MILASV
84.3
Points scored / game
83.0
89.1
Points allowed / game
90.3
-4.1
Adjusted margin / game
-6.2
13 %
Win %
38 %
1
Home wins
2
0
Road wins
1

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
MIL
LPanathinaikos AKTOR Athens75-80LFC Barcelona81-89LDubai Basketball97-101LReal Madrid89-98LMaccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv79-97
ASV
WPartizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade82-75LZalgiris Kaunas85-105LReal Madrid92-111LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade82-84WParis Basketball98-96

Team comparison

MILASV
1-7Record3-5
84.3Points scored / game83.0
89.1Points allowed / game90.3
-4.1Adjusted margin / game-6.2
L6Current streakW1
1-7Last 10 games3-5
0-4 roadHome / road record2-2 home
17-21 (-1.2)Last season8-30 (-7.3)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.