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Paris vs Besiktas prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, November 24

Tue, Nov 24 · 12:00 PM ETTURKCELL BASKETBALL DEVELOPMENT CENTER
33% win PBBwin BJK 67%
FavoriteBJK
Projected margin5.1
Projected total177
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

Besiktas Istanbul (3-5) host Paris Basketball (2-6) on Tuesday, November 24 at 12:00 PM ET at TURKCELL BASKETBALL DEVELOPMENT CENTER in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Besiktas Istanbul a 67% chance to win and projects a 86-91 score (Paris – Besiktas), about 177 total points. This season, Besiktas Istanbul are 1-3 at home and Paris Basketball are 1-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-5 for Besiktas Istanbul and 2-6 for Paris Basketball (current streaks: Besiktas L2, Paris W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

Besiktas is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Besiktas 91 – 86 Paris, a margin of about 5.1 points in favor of Besiktas and a total around 177 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • Paris needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Besiktas' defense allows clearly fewer points (87.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Besiktas
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BJK -1.0 / PBB -2.8 per game
+1.9
Home-court advantageBesiktas at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Besiktas
+5.1

Scenarios

Besiktas win by 10+
33%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Paris win by 10+
10%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

PBBBJK
88.5
Points scored / game
86.2
91.8
Points allowed / game
87.3
-2.8
Adjusted margin / game
-1.0
25 %
Win %
38 %
1
Home wins
1
1
Road wins
2

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
PBB
WDubai Basketball99-93LValencia Basket93-104LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade81-90LVirtus Bologna94-96LLDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne96-98
BJK
LOlympiacos Piraeus73-81LAnadolu Efes Istanbul80-89WFC Bayern Munich95-87LHapoel IBI Tel Aviv82-100WKosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz92-84

Team comparison

PBBBJK
2-6Record3-5
88.5Points scored / game86.2
91.8Points allowed / game87.3
-2.8Adjusted margin / game-1.0
W1Current streakL2
2-6Last 10 games3-5
1-2 roadHome / road record1-3 home
15-23 (-0.9)Last season–

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.