Virtus Bologna vs Crvena Zvezda prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, November 24
At a glance
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (6-3) host Virtus Bologna (4-4) on Tuesday, November 24 at 1:00 PM ET at BELGRADE ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade a 82% chance to win and projects a 79-90 score (Virtus Bologna – Crvena Zvezda), about 169 total points. This season, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade are 4-2 at home and Virtus Bologna are 2-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-3 for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade and 4-4 for Virtus Bologna (current streaks: Crvena Zvezda W2, Virtus Bologna L2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 23% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
On paper, Crvena Zvezda dominates this matchup. The model projects Crvena Zvezda 90 – 79 Virtus Bologna, a margin of about 10.4 points in favor of Crvena Zvezda and a total around 169 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- The overall strength gap (+4.3 vs -3.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Virtus Bologna needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Crvena Zvezda's defense allows clearly fewer points (81.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
VIRCZV
Recent form
VIR
74-91L
81-90W
86-78W
96-94W
94-87CZV103-73W
100-78L
82-85W90-81W
84-82Team comparison
| VIR | CZV | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | Record | 6-3 |
| 83.4 | Points scored / game | 86.3 |
| 86.9 | Points allowed / game | 81.3 |
| -3.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.3 |
| L2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 4-4 | Last 10 games | 6-3 |
| 2-3 road | Home / road record | 4-2 home |
| 14-24 (-4.6) | Last season | 21-18 (+1.1) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.