Fenerbahce vs Paris prediction EuroLeague · Wednesday, November 11
At a glance
Paris Basketball (3-6) host Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul (6-3) on Wednesday, November 11 at 2:45 PM ET at ACCOR ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul a 54% chance to win and projects a 86-84 score (Fenerbahce – Paris), about 170 total points. This season, Paris Basketball are 1-4 at home and Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul are 1-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-6 for Paris Basketball and 6-3 for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul (current streaks: Paris W2, Fenerbahce L2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Paris 84 – 86 Fenerbahce, a margin of about 1.3 points in favor of Fenerbahce and a total around 170 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- The overall strength gap (-2.4 vs +2.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Paris needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Paris' offense (89.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Fenerbahce's defense allows clearly fewer points (78.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
FBTPBB
Recent form
FBT
76-95L
78-86W
64-61W
74-65W
99-80PBB
99-94W
99-93L93-104L
81-90L
94-96Team comparison
| FBT | PBB | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | Record | 3-6 |
| 80.8 | Points scored / game | 89.1 |
| 78.4 | Points allowed / game | 92.0 |
| +2.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.4 |
| L2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 6-3 | Last 10 games | 3-6 |
| 1-3 road | Home / road record | 1-4 home |
| 27-16 (+1.4) | Last season | 15-23 (-0.9) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.