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Crvena Zvezda vs Olympiacos prediction EuroLeague · Friday, November 6

Fri, Nov 6 · 2:15 PM ETSUNEL ARENA
32% win CZVwin OLY 68%
FavoriteOLY
Projected margin5.3
Projected total171
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

Olympiacos Piraeus (6-2) host Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (6-3) on Friday, November 6 at 2:15 PM ET at SUNEL ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Olympiacos Piraeus a 68% chance to win and projects a 83-88 score (Crvena Zvezda – Olympiacos), about 171 total points. This season, Olympiacos Piraeus are 1-1 at home and Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for Olympiacos Piraeus and 6-3 for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (current streaks: Olympiacos W1, Crvena Zvezda W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

Olympiacos is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Olympiacos 88 – 83 Crvena Zvezda, a margin of about 5.3 points in favor of Olympiacos and a total around 171 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.

  • Crvena Zvezda needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Olympiacos' offense (90.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Olympiacos
Team strength (adjusted point differential)OLY +6.3 / CZV +4.3 per game
+2.1
Home-court advantageOlympiacos at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Olympiacos
+5.3

Scenarios

Olympiacos win by 10+
34%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Crvena Zvezda win by 10+
9%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

CZVOLY
86.3
Points scored / game
90.9
81.3
Points allowed / game
83.5
4.3
Adjusted margin / game
6.3
67 %
Win %
75 %
4
Home wins
1
2
Road wins
5

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
CZV
WFC Bayern Munich103-73WMaccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv100-78LPartizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade82-85WParis Basketball90-81WLDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne84-82
OLY
WBesiktas Istanbul81-73LFenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul61-64WFC Barcelona105-100WValencia Basket102-97WAnadolu Efes Istanbul89-66

Team comparison

CZVOLY
6-3Record6-2
86.3Points scored / game90.9
81.3Points allowed / game83.5
+4.3Adjusted margin / game+6.3
W2Current streakW1
6-3Last 10 games6-2
2-1 roadHome / road record1-1 home
21-18 (+1.1)Last season31-12 (+8.0)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.