Match analysis Today's games NBA standings EuroLeague Track record

Timberwolves vs Clippers prediction NBA · Tuesday, April 6

Tue, Apr 6 · 10:30 PM ETIntuit Dome · ClipperVision, DAZN MIN

Minnesota Timberwolves

3-2 · away

Projected score

115-110

LA Clippers

1-3 · home

66% win MINwin LAC 34%

FavoriteMIN

Projected margin5.2

Projected total225

ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The LA Clippers (1-3) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (3-2) on Tuesday, April 6 at 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Timberwolves a 66% chance to win and projects a 115-110 score (Timberwolves – Clippers), about 225 total points. This season, the Clippers are 1-1 at home and the Timberwolves are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-3 for the Clippers and 3-2 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Clippers L3, Timberwolves L2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 29% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves), Donte DiVincenzo (Timberwolves), Yanic Konan Niederhauser (Clippers), Max Strus (Clippers), Brandon Ingram (Clippers) and Bradley Beal (Clippers)…. Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Timberwolves, but the Clippers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Clippers 110 – 115 Timberwolves, a margin of about 5.2 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Clippers will be without Yanic Konan Niederhauser or Max Strus (and 3 others). The Timberwolves will be without Anthony Edwards or Donte DiVincenzo. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

The overall strength gap (+0.4 vs +5.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
The Timberwolves' offense (118.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers

Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC +0.4 / MIN +5.2 per game

-4.8

Home-court advantageClippers at home

+2.3

InjuriesLAC: 5 out, 1 questionable · MIN: 2 out, 0 questionable

-2.7

Expected marginfor Clippers

-5.2

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+

11%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

29%

Timberwolves win by 10+

35%

Stat comparison Current season

MINLAC

118.7

Points scored / game

112.0

112.6

Points allowed / game

111.5

47.3 %

Field goal %

45.9 %

38.4 %

3-point %

39.0 %

40.6

3-pointers attempted / game

35.3

62.7 %

Free throw %

78.6 %

51.6

Rebounds / game

40.8

27.0

Assists / game

25.0

9.2

Steals / game

12.5

4.4

Blocks / game

4.5

16.2

Turnovers / game

23.0

Players to watch

Timberwolves

Anthony EdwardsG · #533.2pts / game

LaMelo BallG · #16.6assists

Rudy GobertC · #2712.2rebounds

Clippers

Darius GarlandG · #1021.5pts / game

Darius GarlandG · #106.5assists

Rui HachimuraF · #286.0rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

MIN

131-106W

115-93W

117-94L

127-125 OTL

119-114

LAC

122-110W

121-96L

125-117L

108-101L

103-87

Head-to-head

3 meetings scheduled this season.

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog

MIN 66% · LAC 34%

ESPN BPI

MIN 72% · LAC 28%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

MIN		LAC
3-2	Record	1-3
118.7	Points scored / game	112.0
112.6	Points allowed / game	111.5
+5.2	Adjusted margin / game	+0.4
L2	Current streak	L3
3-2	Last 10 games	1-3
2-1 road	Home / road record	1-1 home
49-33 (+3.4)	Last season	42-40 (+1.1)
No	Played yesterday	No

Injury report Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards GOut

Donte DiVincenzo GOut

Injury report Clippers

Yanic Konan Niederhauser COut

Max Strus GOut

Brandon Ingram FOut

Bradley Beal GOut

Jordan Miller GOut

Rui Hachimura FDay-To-Day

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.