Clippers vs Bulls prediction NBA · Saturday, March 27
At a glance
The Chicago Bulls (1-4) host the LA Clippers (1-3) on Saturday, March 27 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Clippers a 55% chance to win and projects a 114-113 score (Clippers – Bulls), about 227 total points. This season, the Bulls are 0-2 at home and the Clippers are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-4 for the Bulls and 1-3 for the Clippers (current streaks: Bulls L3, Clippers L3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Fatigue: the Clippers played the night before (back-to-back). Reported injuries: Yanic Konan Niederhauser (Clippers), Max Strus (Clippers), Brandon Ingram (Clippers), Bradley Beal (Clippers), Jordan Miller (Clippers) and Patrick Williams (Bulls)…. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Bulls 113 – 114 Clippers, a margin of about 1.7 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Clippers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. The Bulls will be without Patrick Williams or Nic Claxton. The Clippers will be without Yanic Konan Niederhauser or Max Strus (and 3 others). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-7.2 vs +0.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Bulls' offense (115.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LACCHI
Players to watch
Clippers
Darius GarlandG · #1021.5pts / gameDarius GarlandG · #106.5assists
Rui HachimuraF · #286.0reboundsBulls
Norman PowellG · #2421.6pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #38.0assists
Jalen SmithF · #258.2reboundsRecent form
LAC
122-110W
121-96L
125-117L
108-101L103-87CHI
135-92W
132-125L
124-120L
134-99L
133-127
CHI
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| LAC | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | Record | 1-4 |
| 112.0 | Points scored / game | 115.6 |
| 111.5 | Points allowed / game | 124.1 |
| +0.4 | Adjusted margin / game | -7.2 |
| L3 | Current streak | L3 |
| 1-3 | Last 10 games | 1-4 |
| 0-2 road | Home / road record | 0-2 home |
| 42-40 (+1.1) | Last season | 31-51 (-5.2) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Clippers
Injury report Bulls
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.