Match analysis Today's games NBA standings EuroLeague Track record

Celtics vs Nets prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 23

Tue, Mar 23 · 7:30 PM ETBarclays Center · DAZN (YES)

Boston Celtics

3-1 · away

Projected score

119-105

Brooklyn Nets

0-4 · home

86% win BOSwin BKN 14%

FavoriteBOS

Projected margin13.6

Projected total224

ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Brooklyn Nets (0-4) host the Boston Celtics (3-1) on Tuesday, March 23 at 7:30 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Celtics a 86% chance to win and projects a 119-105 score (Celtics – Nets), about 224 total points. This season, the Nets are 0-2 at home and the Celtics are 0-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-4 for the Nets and 3-1 for the Celtics (current streaks: Nets L4, Celtics W3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 18% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Devin Carter (Celtics), Egor Demin (Nets) and Tyler Bilodeau (Nets). Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

The Celtics start with a clear edge. The model projects Nets 105 – 119 Celtics, a margin of about 13.6 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Nets will be without Egor Demin or Tyler Bilodeau. The Celtics will be without Devin Carter. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

The overall strength gap (-8.4 vs +6.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
The Celtics' offense (116.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (108.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nets

Team strength (adjusted point differential)BKN -8.4 / BOS +6.6 per game

-15.0

Home-court advantageNets at home

+2.3

InjuriesBKN: 2 out, 0 questionable · BOS: 1 out, 0 questionable

-0.9

Expected marginfor Nets

-13.6

Scenarios

Nets win by 10+

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

18%

Celtics win by 10+

61%

Stat comparison Current season

BOSBKN

116.1

Points scored / game

108.0

108.3

Points allowed / game

117.9

46.5 %

Field goal %

42.9 %

38.6 %

3-point %

36.7 %

41.5

3-pointers attempted / game

42.3

76.0 %

Free throw %

76.6 %

44.3

Rebounds / game

43.5

27.8

Assists / game

24.0

9.0

Steals / game

10.0

3.8

Blocks / game

4.0

15.5

Turnovers / game

17.5

Players to watch

Celtics

Jayson TatumF · #028.0pts / game

Jayson TatumF · #08.0assists

Jayson TatumF · #06.2rebounds

Nets

Michael Porter Jr.F · #1722.8pts / game

Julius RandleF · #305.8assists

Julius RandleF · #307.5rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

BOS

125-120 OTL DET

121-113W

107-103W

134-99W

125-124 OT

BKN

L144-128L110-103L125-121L136-109L125-124 OT

Head-to-head

BOS lead 1-0 this season.

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog

BOS 86% · BKN 14%

ESPN BPI

BOS 78% · BKN 22%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

BOS		BKN
3-1	Record	0-4
116.1	Points scored / game	108.0
108.3	Points allowed / game	117.9
+6.6	Adjusted margin / game	-8.4
W3	Current streak	L4
3-1	Last 10 games	0-4
0-1 road	Home / road record	0-2 home
56-26 (+7.7)	Last season	20-62 (-10.0)
No	Played yesterday	No

Injury report Celtics

Devin Carter GOut

Injury report Nets

Egor Demin GOut

Tyler Bilodeau FOut

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.