Pistons vs Clippers prediction NBA · Tuesday, February 9
At a glance
The LA Clippers (1-3) host the Detroit Pistons (4-1) on Tuesday, February 9 at 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Pistons a 71% chance to win and projects a 114-107 score (Pistons – Clippers), about 221 total points. This season, the Clippers are 1-1 at home and the Pistons are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-3 for the Clippers and 4-1 for the Pistons (current streaks: Clippers L3, Pistons W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 27% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Jalen Duren (Pistons), Yanic Konan Niederhauser (Clippers), Max Strus (Clippers), Brandon Ingram (Clippers), Bradley Beal (Clippers) and Jordan Miller (Clippers). Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Pistons, but the Clippers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Clippers 107 – 114 Pistons, a margin of about 7.0 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 221 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Clippers will be without Yanic Konan Niederhauser or Max Strus (and 3 others). The Pistons will be without Jalen Duren. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (+0.4 vs +6.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pistons' offense (115.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DETLAC
Players to watch
Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #222.6pts / gameCade CunninghamG · #27.8assists
Paul ReedF · #77.6reboundsClippers
Darius GarlandG · #1021.5pts / gameDarius GarlandG · #106.5assists
Rui HachimuraF · #286.0reboundsRecent form
DET
121-113W
128-111W
106-93L
111-97W
97-89LAC
122-110W
121-96L
125-117L
108-101L103-87
DET
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| DET | LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | Record | 1-3 |
| 115.4 | Points scored / game | 112.0 |
| 107.8 | Points allowed / game | 111.5 |
| +6.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.4 |
| W1 | Current streak | L3 |
| 4-1 | Last 10 games | 1-3 |
| 2-1 road | Home / road record | 1-1 home |
| 60-22 (+8.2) | Last season | 42-40 (+1.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pistons
Injury report Clippers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.