Pelicans vs Bulls prediction NBA · Saturday, February 6
At a glance
The Chicago Bulls (1-4) host the New Orleans Pelicans (0-4) on Saturday, February 6 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Pelicans a 56% chance to win and projects a 119-117 score (Pelicans – Bulls), about 236 total points. This season, the Bulls are 0-2 at home and the Pelicans are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-4 for the Bulls and 0-4 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Bulls L3, Pelicans L4). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Yves Missi (Pelicans), Patrick Williams (Bulls) and Nic Claxton (Bulls). Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Bulls 117 – 119 Pelicans, a margin of about 2.0 points in favor of the Pelicans and a total around 236 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Bulls will be without Patrick Williams or Nic Claxton. The Pelicans will be without Yves Missi. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pelicans' defense allows clearly fewer points (120.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NOCHI
Players to watch
Pelicans
Zion WilliamsonF · #121.8pts / game
Dejounte MurrayG · #56.0assists
Derik QueenC · #229.2reboundsBulls
Norman PowellG · #2421.6pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #38.0assists
Jalen SmithF · #258.2reboundsRecent form
NO
107-106L
123-120L
120-119L
141-135 OTL104-91CHI
135-92W
132-125L124-120L
134-99L
133-127
NO
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| NO | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-4 | Record | 1-4 |
| 115.7 | Points scored / game | 115.6 |
| 120.5 | Points allowed / game | 124.1 |
| -4.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -7.2 |
| L4 | Current streak | L3 |
| 0-4 | Last 10 games | 1-4 |
| 0-2 road | Home / road record | 0-2 home |
| 26-56 (-4.5) | Last season | 31-51 (-5.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pelicans
Injury report Bulls
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.