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Clippers vs Nets prediction NBA · Friday, January 29

Fri, Jan 29 · 7:30 PM ETBarclays Center · DAZN (YES), ClipperVision

LA Clippers

1-3 · away

Projected score

113-109

Brooklyn Nets

0-4 · home

62% win LACwin BKN 38%

FavoriteLAC

Projected margin3.8

Projected total222

ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Brooklyn Nets (0-4) host the LA Clippers (1-3) on Friday, January 29 at 7:30 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Clippers a 62% chance to win and projects a 113-109 score (Clippers – Nets), about 222 total points. This season, the Nets are 0-2 at home and the Clippers are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-4 for the Nets and 1-3 for the Clippers (current streaks: Nets L4, Clippers L3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Yanic Konan Niederhauser (Clippers), Max Strus (Clippers), Brandon Ingram (Clippers), Bradley Beal (Clippers), Jordan Miller (Clippers) and Egor Demin (Nets)…. Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Clippers, but the Nets have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Nets 109 – 113 Clippers, a margin of about 3.8 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 222 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Nets will be without Egor Demin or Tyler Bilodeau. The Clippers will be without Yanic Konan Niederhauser or Max Strus (and 3 others). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

The overall strength gap (-8.4 vs +0.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
The Clippers' offense (112.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.5 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nets

Team strength (adjusted point differential)BKN -8.4 / LAC +0.4 per game

-8.8

Home-court advantageNets at home

+2.3

InjuriesBKN: 2 out, 0 questionable · LAC: 5 out, 1 questionable

+2.7

Expected marginfor Nets

-3.8

Scenarios

Nets win by 10+

13%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

30%

Clippers win by 10+

31%

Stat comparison Current season

LACBKN

112.0

Points scored / game

108.0

111.5

Points allowed / game

117.9

45.9 %

Field goal %

42.9 %

39.0 %

3-point %

36.7 %

35.3

3-pointers attempted / game

42.3

78.6 %

Free throw %

76.6 %

40.8

Rebounds / game

43.5

25.0

Assists / game

24.0

12.5

Steals / game

10.0

4.5

Blocks / game

4.0

23.0

Turnovers / game

17.5

Players to watch

Clippers

Darius GarlandG · #1021.5pts / game

Darius GarlandG · #106.5assists

Rui HachimuraF · #286.0rebounds

Nets

Michael Porter Jr.F · #1722.8pts / game

Julius RandleF · #305.8assists

Julius RandleF · #307.5rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

LAC

122-110W

121-96L

125-117L

108-101L

103-87

BKN

L144-128L110-103L125-121L136-109L125-124 OT

Head-to-head

2 meetings scheduled this season.

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog

LAC 62% · BKN 38%

ESPN BPI

LAC 53% · BKN 47%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

LAC		BKN
1-3	Record	0-4
112.0	Points scored / game	108.0
111.5	Points allowed / game	117.9
+0.4	Adjusted margin / game	-8.4
L3	Current streak	L4
1-3	Last 10 games	0-4
0-2 road	Home / road record	0-2 home
42-40 (+1.1)	Last season	20-62 (-10.0)
No	Played yesterday	No

Injury report Clippers

Yanic Konan Niederhauser COut

Max Strus GOut

Brandon Ingram FOut

Bradley Beal GOut

Jordan Miller GOut

Rui Hachimura FDay-To-Day

Injury report Nets

Egor Demin GOut

Tyler Bilodeau FOut

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.