Match analysis Today's games NBA standings EuroLeague Track record

Suns vs Nets prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 27

Wed, Jan 27 · 7:30 PM ETBarclays Center · DAZN (YES), Arizona's Family 3TV, Suns Live

Phoenix Suns

1-2 · away

Projected score

113-110

Brooklyn Nets

0-4 · home

61% win PHXwin BKN 39%

FavoritePHX

Projected margin3.6

Projected total223

ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Brooklyn Nets (0-4) host the Phoenix Suns (1-2) on Wednesday, January 27 at 7:30 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Suns a 61% chance to win and projects a 113-110 score (Suns – Nets), about 223 total points. This season, the Nets are 0-2 at home and the Suns are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-4 for the Nets and 1-2 for the Suns (current streaks: Nets L4, Suns L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Fatigue: the Suns played the night before (back-to-back). Reported injuries: Mark Williams (Suns), Egor Demin (Nets) and Tyler Bilodeau (Nets). Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Suns, but the Nets have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Nets 110 – 113 Suns, a margin of about 3.6 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 223 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Suns played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. The Nets will be without Egor Demin or Tyler Bilodeau. The Suns will be without Mark Williams. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

The overall strength gap (-8.4 vs -1.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
The Suns' offense (111.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
The Suns' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.6 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nets

Team strength (adjusted point differential)BKN -8.4 / PHX -1.4 per game

-7.0

Home-court advantageNets at home

+2.3

Back-to-backSuns played yesterday

+1.6

InjuriesBKN: 2 out, 0 questionable · PHX: 1 out, 1 questionable

-0.6

Expected marginfor Nets

-3.6

Scenarios

Nets win by 10+

14%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

30%

Suns win by 10+

31%

Stat comparison Current season

PHXBKN

111.9

Points scored / game

108.0

113.6

Points allowed / game

117.9

45.6 %

Field goal %

42.9 %

31.9 %

3-point %

36.7 %

39.7

3-pointers attempted / game

42.3

73.9 %

Free throw %

76.6 %

39.7

Rebounds / game

43.5

25.3

Assists / game

24.0

8.7

Steals / game

10.0

5.3

Blocks / game

4.0

14.0

Turnovers / game

17.5

Players to watch

Suns

Devin BookerG · #1522.7pts / game

Devin BookerG · #155.3assists

Khaman MaluachC · #107.3rebounds

Nets

Michael Porter Jr.F · #1722.8pts / game

Julius RandleF · #305.8assists

Julius RandleF · #307.5rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

PHX

123-103L

119-116L

124-83W

131-122L

125-114

BKN

L144-128L110-103L125-121L136-109L125-124 OT

Head-to-head

2 meetings scheduled this season.

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog

PHX 61% · BKN 39%

ESPN BPI

PHX 59% · BKN 41%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

PHX		BKN
1-2	Record	0-4
111.9	Points scored / game	108.0
113.6	Points allowed / game	117.9
-1.4	Adjusted margin / game	-8.4
L1	Current streak	L4
1-2	Last 10 games	0-4
0-2 road	Home / road record	0-2 home
45-37 (+1.5)	Last season	20-62 (-10.0)
Yes	Played yesterday	No

Injury report Suns

Mark Williams COut

Oso Ighodaro FDay-To-Day

Injury report Nets

Egor Demin GOut

Tyler Bilodeau FOut

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.