Clippers vs Jazz prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 20
At a glance
The Utah Jazz (1-4) host the LA Clippers (1-3) on Wednesday, January 20 at 9:00 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Clippers a 66% chance to win and projects a 116-111 score (Clippers – Jazz), about 227 total points. This season, the Jazz are 1-3 at home and the Clippers are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-4 for the Jazz and 1-3 for the Clippers (current streaks: Jazz L3, Clippers L3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 29% of cases according to the model. Fatigue: the Jazz played the night before (back-to-back). Reported injuries: Yanic Konan Niederhauser (Clippers), Max Strus (Clippers), Brandon Ingram (Clippers), Bradley Beal (Clippers), Jordan Miller (Clippers) and Jaren Jackson Jr. (Jazz)…. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
The Clippers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Jazz 111 – 116 Clippers, a margin of about 5.3 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Jazz played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. The Jazz will be without Jaren Jackson Jr. or Trey Alexander (and 1 other). The Clippers will be without Yanic Konan Niederhauser or Max Strus (and 3 others). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-7.0 vs +0.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Jazz's offense (116.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LACUTAH
Players to watch
Clippers
Darius GarlandG · #1021.5pts / gameDarius GarlandG · #106.5assists
Rui HachimuraF · #286.0reboundsJazz
Keyonte GeorgeG · #324.4pts / gameKeyonte GeorgeG · #36.8assists
Ace BaileyG · #198.0reboundsRecent form
LAC
122-110W
121-96L
125-117L
108-101L103-87UTAH
123-103W
120-119L132-123L110-105L
117-111 OTHead-to-head
4 meetings scheduled this season.
UTAH
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
⚠ The two models disagree: handle this game with caution.
Team comparison
| LAC | UTAH | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | Record | 1-4 |
| 112.0 | Points scored / game | 116.1 |
| 111.5 | Points allowed / game | 124.3 |
| +0.4 | Adjusted margin / game | -7.0 |
| L3 | Current streak | L3 |
| 1-3 | Last 10 games | 1-4 |
| 0-2 road | Home / road record | 1-3 home |
| 42-40 (+1.1) | Last season | 22-60 (-8.4) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Clippers
Injury report Jazz
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.