Hornets vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Saturday, January 9
At a glance
The Portland Trail Blazers (3-0) host the Charlotte Hornets (3-2) on Saturday, January 9 at 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Trail Blazers a 68% chance to win and projects a 110-115 score (Hornets – Trail Blazers), about 225 total points. This season, the Trail Blazers are 1-0 at home and the Hornets are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-0 for the Trail Blazers and 3-2 for the Hornets (current streaks: Trail Blazers W3, Hornets L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 28% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Kon Knueppel (Hornets), Coby White (Hornets), Grant Williams (Hornets), Kylan Boswell (Hornets), Chris Youngblood (Trail Blazers) and Shaedon Sharpe (Trail Blazers). Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Trail Blazers, but the Hornets have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Trail Blazers 115 – 110 Hornets, a margin of about 6.0 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Trail Blazers will be without Chris Youngblood or Shaedon Sharpe. The Hornets will be without Kon Knueppel or Coby White (and 2 others). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Trail Blazers' offense (118.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CHAPOR
Players to watch
Hornets
Brandon MillerF · #2425.6pts / game
Dennis SchroderG · #174.8assists
Moussa DiabateF · #149.4reboundsTrail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #822.3pts / game
Ja MorantG · #16.3assists
Donovan ClinganC · #239.3reboundsRecent form
CHA
110-103L
128-81W
115-110W
110-103L
97-89POR
110-98L
128-118W
124-83W128-120W
136-129
POR
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| CHA | POR | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | Record | 3-0 |
| 111.6 | Points scored / game | 118.2 |
| 110.3 | Points allowed / game | 114.7 |
| +1.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.0 |
| L1 | Current streak | W3 |
| 3-2 | Last 10 games | 3-0 |
| 1-1 road | Home / road record | 1-0 home |
| 44-38 (+4.8) | Last season | 42-40 (-0.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Hornets
Injury report Trail Blazers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.