Jazz vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Thursday, December 3
At a glance
The Portland Trail Blazers (3-0) host the Utah Jazz (1-4) on Thursday, December 3 at 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Trail Blazers a 85% chance to win and projects a 111-124 score (Jazz – Trail Blazers), about 235 total points. This season, the Trail Blazers are 1-0 at home and the Jazz are 0-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-0 for the Trail Blazers and 1-4 for the Jazz (current streaks: Trail Blazers W3, Jazz L3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 18% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Jaren Jackson Jr. (Jazz), Trey Alexander (Jazz), Jusuf Nurkic (Jazz), Chris Youngblood (Trail Blazers) and Shaedon Sharpe (Trail Blazers). Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
On paper, the Trail Blazers dominate this matchup. The model projects Trail Blazers 124 – 111 Jazz, a margin of about 13.2 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Trail Blazers will be without Chris Youngblood or Shaedon Sharpe. The Jazz will be without Jaren Jackson Jr. or Trey Alexander (and 1 other). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (+3.0 vs -7.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Trail Blazers' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
UTAHPOR
Players to watch
Jazz
Keyonte GeorgeG · #324.4pts / gameKeyonte GeorgeG · #36.8assists
Ace BaileyG · #198.0reboundsTrail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #822.3pts / game
Ja MorantG · #16.3assists
Donovan ClinganC · #239.3reboundsRecent form
UTAH
123-103W
120-119L
132-123L110-105L
117-111 OTPOR
110-98L
128-118W
124-83W128-120W136-129Head-to-head
4 meetings scheduled this season.
POR
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| UTAH | POR | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-4 | Record | 3-0 |
| 116.1 | Points scored / game | 118.2 |
| 124.3 | Points allowed / game | 114.7 |
| -7.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.0 |
| L3 | Current streak | W3 |
| 1-4 | Last 10 games | 3-0 |
| 0-1 road | Home / road record | 1-0 home |
| 22-60 (-8.4) | Last season | 42-40 (-0.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Jazz
Injury report Trail Blazers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.