Pelicans vs Clippers prediction NBA · Friday, November 27
At a glance
The LA Clippers (1-3) host the New Orleans Pelicans (0-4) on Friday, November 27 at 9:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Clippers a 66% chance to win and projects a 111-116 score (Pelicans – Clippers), about 227 total points. This season, the Clippers are 1-1 at home and the Pelicans are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-3 for the Clippers and 0-4 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Clippers L3, Pelicans L4). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 29% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Dejounte Murray (Pelicans), Jordan Poole (Pelicans), Yves Missi (Pelicans), Yanic Konan Niederhauser (Clippers), Max Strus (Clippers) and Brandon Ingram (Clippers)…. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Clippers, but the Pelicans have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Clippers 116 – 111 Pelicans, a margin of about 5.0 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Clippers will be without Yanic Konan Niederhauser or Max Strus (and 3 others). The Pelicans will be without Dejounte Murray or Jordan Poole (and 1 other). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (+0.4 vs -4.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pelicans' offense (115.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NOLAC
Players to watch
Pelicans
Zion WilliamsonF · #121.8pts / game
Dejounte MurrayG · #56.0assists
Derik QueenC · #229.2reboundsClippers
Darius GarlandG · #1021.5pts / gameDarius GarlandG · #106.5assists
Rui HachimuraF · #286.0reboundsRecent form
NO
107-106L
123-120L
120-119L
141-135 OTL104-91LAC122-110W
121-96L
125-117L
108-101L103-87Head-to-head
3 meetings scheduled this season.
NO
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| NO | LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-4 | Record | 1-3 |
| 115.7 | Points scored / game | 112.0 |
| 120.5 | Points allowed / game | 111.5 |
| -4.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.4 |
| L4 | Current streak | L3 |
| 0-4 | Last 10 games | 1-3 |
| 0-2 road | Home / road record | 1-1 home |
| 26-56 (-4.5) | Last season | 42-40 (+1.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pelicans
Injury report Clippers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.