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Knicks vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Saturday, May 23

FinalRocket Arena · ABC
52% win NYwin CLE 48%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin0.6
Projected total229
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (60-38) host the New York Knicks (64-31) on Saturday, May 23 at 8:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 121 – Cavaliers 108. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 52% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Cavaliers are 33-15 at home and the Knicks are 27-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Cavaliers and 9-1 for the Knicks (current streaks: Cavaliers L2, Knicks W9).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Cavaliers 114 – 115 Knicks, a margin of about 0.6 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Cavaliers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +3.4 / NY +6.4 per game
-2.9
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
-0.6

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
20%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Knicks win by 10+
23%

Stat comparison Current season

NYCLE
116.7
Points scored / game
118.2
109.3
Points allowed / game
114.2
42.2 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
35.9 %
3-point %
36.7 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
75.8 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
47.0
26.8
Assists / game
26.3
7.2
Steals / game
8.8
4.4
Blocks / game
7.5
14.8
Turnovers / game
17.3

Team comparison

NYCLE
64-31Record60-38
116.7Points scored / game118.2
109.3Points allowed / game114.2
+6.4Adjusted margin / game+3.4
W9Current streakL2
9-1Last 10 games5-5
27-20 roadHome / road record33-15 home
51-31 (+4.1)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.