Cavaliers vs Pistons prediction NBA · Thursday, May 7
At a glance
The Detroit Pistons (65-25) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (56-34) on Thursday, May 7 at 7:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 97 – Pistons 107. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 64% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pistons are 36-10 at home and the Cavaliers are 25-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Pistons and 5-5 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Pistons W4, Cavaliers L1).
The analysis Model
The Pistons are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Pistons 117 – 113 Cavaliers, a margin of about 4.6 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Cavaliers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CLEDET
Team comparison
| CLE | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 56-34 | Record | 65-25 |
| 119.1 | Points scored / game | 116.4 |
| 114.7 | Points allowed / game | 109.2 |
| +3.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.1 |
| L1 | Current streak | W4 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 25-20 road | Home / road record | 36-10 home |
| 64-18 (+9.5) | Last season | 44-38 (+1.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Cavaliers
Injury report Pistons
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.