Nuggets vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Thursday, April 30
At a glance
The Minnesota Timberwolves (52-35) host the Denver Nuggets (56-31) on Thursday, April 30 at 9:30 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Nuggets 98 – Timberwolves 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 54% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Timberwolves are 28-15 at home and the Nuggets are 26-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Timberwolves and 7-3 for the Nuggets (current streaks: Timberwolves L1, Nuggets W1).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Timberwolves 118 – 117 Nuggets, a margin of about 1.4 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The Nuggets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (121.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DENMIN
Team comparison
| DEN | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 56-31 | Record | 52-35 |
| 121.3 | Points scored / game | 117.3 |
| 116.7 | Points allowed / game | 113.7 |
| +3.9 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.0 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 26-17 road | Home / road record | 28-15 home |
| 50-32 (+3.9) | Last season | 49-33 (+5.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Nuggets
Injury report Timberwolves
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.