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Loong-Lions vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Monday, October 13

FinalTarget Center · NBA League Pass
30% win GUAwin MIN 70%
FavoriteMIN
Projected margin6.5
Projected total226
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Minnesota Timberwolves host the Guangzhou Loong-Lions on Monday, October 13 at 8:00 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Loong-Lions 74 – Timberwolves 134. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 70% chance to win: prediction correct.

The analysis Model

The Timberwolves are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Timberwolves 116 – 110 Loong-Lions, a margin of about 6.5 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The overall strength gap (+4.3 vs 0.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Loong-Lions need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Timberwolves
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIN +4.3 / GUA 0.0 per game
+4.3
Home-court advantageTimberwolves at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Timberwolves
+6.5

Scenarios

Timberwolves win by 10+
39%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
27%
Loong-Lions win by 10+
9%

Stat comparison Current season

GUAMIN
114.5
Points scored / game
114.3
114.5
Points allowed / game
109.3

Shooting stats unavailable for now.

Top performers

Loong-Lions
Victor OladipoSG · #5214pts / game
Tim FrazierPG · #103assists
Frank KaminskyF · #448rebounds
Timberwolves
Rob DillinghamG · #727pts / game
Rob DillinghamG · #79assists
Leonard MillerF · #1111rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
GUA
No games played yet.
MIN
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

No meetings scheduled this season.

Team comparison

GUAMIN
–Record2-2
114.5Points scored / game114.3
114.5Points allowed / game109.3
0.0Adjusted margin / game+4.3
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
–Last season49-33 (+5.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Injury report Loong-Lions

No injuries reported.

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.