Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Pnx vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Saturday, October 4

FinalRod Laver Arena · NBA TV, GCSEN
68% win ?win NO 32%
Favorite?
Projected margin5.7
Projected total229
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The New Orleans Pelicans host the Melbourne Pnx on Saturday, October 4 at 11:00 PM ET at Rod Laver Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pnx 92 – Pelicans 127. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pnx a 68% chance to win: prediction missed.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Pnx, but the Pelicans have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pelicans 112 – 117 Pnx, a margin of about 5.7 points in favor of the Pnx and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The overall strength gap (-8.0 vs 0.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pnx's offense (114.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Pnx's defense allows clearly fewer points (114.5 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pelicans
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NO -8.0 / ? 0.0 per game
-8.0
Home-court advantagePelicans at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pelicans
-5.7

Scenarios

Pelicans win by 10+
10%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Pnx win by 10+
37%

Stat comparison Current season

?NO
114.5
Points scored / game
109.8
114.5
Points allowed / game
119.3

Shooting stats unavailable for now.

Top performers

Pnx
Jordan HunterC · #117pts / game
Nathan SobeyG · #205assists
John BrownF · #07rebounds
Pelicans
Saddiq BeyG · #4121pts / game
Jordan PooleG · #34assists
Zion WilliamsonF · #19rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
?
No games played yet.
NO
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

No meetings scheduled this season.

Team comparison

?NO
–Record2-0
114.5Points scored / game109.8
114.5Points allowed / game119.3
0.0Adjusted margin / game-8.0
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
–Last season21-61 (-9.4)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Injury report Pnx

No injuries reported.

New Orleans Pelicans Injury report Pelicans

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.