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Hapoel Jerusalem vs Nets prediction NBA · Saturday, October 4

FinalBarclays Center · YES, DAZN (YES), NBA League Pass
Hapoel Jerusalem
0-0 · away
Final score
88-123
Projected: 113-110
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets
1-0 · home
62% win HAPOELwin BKN 38%
FavoriteHAPOEL
Projected margin3.7
Projected total223
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Brooklyn Nets host the Hapoel Jerusalem on Saturday, October 4 at 8:00 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. Final score: Hapoel Jerusalem 88 – Nets 123. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hapoel Jerusalem a 62% chance to win: prediction missed.

The analysis Model

The Hapoel Jerusalem are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Nets 110 – 113 Hapoel Jerusalem, a margin of about 3.7 points in favor of the Hapoel Jerusalem and a total around 223 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The overall strength gap (-6.0 vs 0.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Hapoel Jerusalem's offense (114.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BKN -6.0 / HAPOEL 0.0 per game
-6.0
Home-court advantageNets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Nets
-3.7

Scenarios

Nets win by 10+
14%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Hapoel Jerusalem win by 10+
31%

Stat comparison Current season

HAPOELBKN
114.5
Points scored / game
105.1
114.5
Points allowed / game
112.2

Shooting stats unavailable for now.

Top performers

Hapoel Jerusalem
Justin SmithF · #016pts / game
Roi HuberG · #135assists
Austin WileyC · #511rebounds
Nets
Terance MannG · #1415pts / game
Ben SarafG · #776assists
Nic ClaxtonC · #98rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
HAPOEL
No games played yet.
BKN
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

No meetings scheduled this season.

Team comparison

HAPOELBKN
–Record1-0
114.5Points scored / game105.1
114.5Points allowed / game112.2
0.0Adjusted margin / game-6.0
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
–Last season26-56 (-7.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Injury report Hapoel Jerusalem

No injuries reported.

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.