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Bulls vs Wizards prediction NBA · Tuesday, April 7

FinalCapital One Arena · MNMT, CHSN, NBA League Pass
61% win CHIwin WSH 39%
FavoriteCHI
Projected margin3.5
Projected total237
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Washington Wizards (17-61) host the Chicago Bulls (29-49) on Tuesday, April 7 at 7:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 129 – Wizards 98. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bulls a 61% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Wizards are 11-27 at home and the Bulls are 11-27 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Wizards and 1-9 for the Bulls (current streaks: Wizards L6, Bulls L7).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Bulls, but the Wizards have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Wizards 117 – 120 Bulls, a margin of about 3.5 points in favor of the Bulls and a total around 237 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-9.9 vs -4.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bulls' offense (116.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Wizards
Team strength (adjusted point differential)WSH -9.9 / CHI -4.2 per game
-5.8
Home-court advantageWizards at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Wizards
-3.5

Scenarios

Wizards win by 10+
14%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Bulls win by 10+
30%

Stat comparison Current season

CHIWSH
116.4
Points scored / game
112.4
121.3
Points allowed / game
124.1
42.1 %
Field goal %
48.0 %
27.6 %
3-point %
28.5 %
42.0
3-pointers attempted / game
31.6
78.6 %
Free throw %
83.1 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
40.0
24.4
Assists / game
25.8
9.0
Steals / game
7.4
4.8
Blocks / game
5.6
17.8
Turnovers / game
13.6

Top performers

Bulls
Rob DillinghamG · #726pts / game
Tre JonesG · #309assists
Collin SextonG · #109rebounds
Wizards
Bilal CoulibalyG · #019pts / game
Bub CarringtonG · #77assists
Julian ReeseF · #1311rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHI
No games played yet.
WSH
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHIWSH
29-49Record17-61
116.4Points scored / game112.4
121.3Points allowed / game124.1
-4.2Adjusted margin / game-9.9
L7Current streakL6
1-9Last 10 games1-9
11-27 roadHome / road record11-27 home
39-43 (-1.6)Last season18-64 (-12.4)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.