Bulls vs Spurs prediction NBA · Monday, March 30
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (56-19) host the Chicago Bulls (29-45) on Monday, March 30 at 8:00 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 114 – Spurs 129. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 82% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Spurs are 28-7 at home and the Bulls are 11-25 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Spurs and 3-7 for the Bulls (current streaks: Spurs W8, Bulls L3).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Spurs dominate this matchup. The model projects Spurs 123 – 111 Bulls, a margin of about 11.3 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+5.5 vs -3.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CHISA
Top performers
Bulls
Tre JonesG · #3023pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #310assistsJosh GiddeyG · #37reboundsSpurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #141pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #510assistsVictor WembanyamaF · #116reboundsRecent form
CHISA
SA
Team comparison
| CHI | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-45 | Record | 56-19 |
| 116.6 | Points scored / game | 118.6 |
| 120.7 | Points allowed / game | 112.1 |
| -3.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.5 |
| L3 | Current streak | W8 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 9-1 |
| 11-25 road | Home / road record | 28-7 home |
| 39-43 (-1.6) | Last season | 34-48 (-2.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Bulls
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.