Pelicans vs Knicks prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 24
At a glance
The New York Knicks (48-25) host the New Orleans Pelicans (25-47) on Tuesday, March 24 at 7:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 116 – Knicks 121. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 82% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Knicks are 27-9 at home and the Pelicans are 9-25 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Knicks and 6-4 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Knicks W6, Pelicans L1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Knicks dominate this matchup. The model projects Knicks 121 – 110 Pelicans, a margin of about 11.6 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+5.5 vs -3.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.6 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NONY
Top performers
Pelicans
Zion WilliamsonF · #122pts / game
Dejounte MurrayG · #512assists
Trey Murphy IIIF · #256reboundsKnicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1132pts / gameJalen BrunsonG · #117assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3214reboundsRecent form
NONY
NY
Team comparison
| NO | NY | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-47 | Record | 48-25 |
| 114.7 | Points scored / game | 117.1 |
| 119.2 | Points allowed / game | 110.6 |
| -3.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.5 |
| L1 | Current streak | W6 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 9-25 road | Home / road record | 27-9 home |
| 21-61 (-9.4) | Last season | 51-31 (+4.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pelicans
Injury report Knicks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.