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Rockets vs Bulls prediction NBA · Monday, March 23

FinalUnited Center · CHSN, Space City Home Network, NBA League Pass
Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets
43-28 · away
Final score
124-132
Projected: 117-113
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
29-42 · home
64% win HOUwin CHI 36%
FavoriteHOU
Projected margin4.6
Projected total230
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls (28-42) host the Houston Rockets (43-27) on Monday, March 23 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 124 – Bulls 132. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 64% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Bulls are 17-20 at home and the Rockets are 18-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Bulls and 5-5 for the Rockets (current streaks: Bulls L2, Rockets W2).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Rockets, but the Bulls have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Bulls 113 – 117 Rockets, a margin of about 4.6 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-3.4 vs +3.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -3.4 / HOU +3.5 per game
-6.9
Home-court advantageBulls at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bulls
-4.6

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+
12%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Rockets win by 10+
33%

Stat comparison Current season

HOUCHI
114.1
Points scored / game
116.1
109.9
Points allowed / game
120.1
51.7 %
Field goal %
42.1 %
40.4 %
3-point %
27.6 %
32.2
3-pointers attempted / game
42.0
84.7 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
44.8
28.2
Assists / game
24.4
10.2
Steals / game
9.0
6.0
Blocks / game
4.8
15.8
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Rockets
Kevin DurantF · #740pts / game
Alperen SengunC · #2810assists
Alperen SengunC · #2813rebounds
Bulls
Collin SextonG · #1025pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #313assists
Leonard MillerF · #119rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
HOU
No games played yet.
CHI
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

HOUCHI
43-27Record28-42
114.1Points scored / game116.1
109.9Points allowed / game120.1
+3.5Adjusted margin / game-3.4
W2Current streakL2
5-5Last 10 games4-6
18-17 roadHome / road record17-20 home
52-30 (+4.5)Last season39-43 (-1.6)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Houston Rockets Injury report Rockets

No injuries reported.

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.