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Lakers vs Magic prediction NBA · Saturday, March 21

FinalKia Center · Spectrum Sports Net, Spectrum Sports Net +, FanDuel SN FL, NBA TV
44% win LALwin ORL 56%
FavoriteORL
Projected margin1.8
Projected total229
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Orlando Magic (38-31) host the Los Angeles Lakers (45-25) on Saturday, March 21 at 7:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 105 – Magic 104. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 56% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Magic are 22-13 at home and the Lakers are 22-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Magic and 9-1 for the Lakers (current streaks: Magic L3, Lakers W8).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Magic 115 – 114 Lakers, a margin of about 1.8 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Magic
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ORL +0.7 / LAL +1.3 per game
-0.5
Home-court advantageMagic at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Magic
+1.8

Scenarios

Magic win by 10+
26%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Lakers win by 10+
17%

Stat comparison Current season

LALORL
116.1
Points scored / game
114.0
114.7
Points allowed / game
113.1
52.9 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
39.2 %
3-point %
31.4 %
36.2
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
79.1 %
Free throw %
75.0 %
38.0
Rebounds / game
41.3
24.0
Assists / game
26.0
10.8
Steals / game
7.8
5.8
Blocks / game
4.5
16.6
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7733pts / game
Luka DoncicG · #778assists
Deandre AytonC · #812rebounds
Magic
Paolo BancheroF · #516pts / game
Paolo BancheroF · #56assists
Wendell Carter Jr.C · #349rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAL
No games played yet.
ORL
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

LALORL
45-25Record38-31
116.1Points scored / game114.0
114.7Points allowed / game113.1
+1.3Adjusted margin / game+0.7
W8Current streakL3
9-1Last 10 games7-3
22-13 roadHome / road record22-13 home
50-32 (+1.2)Last season41-41 (-0.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.