Bulls vs Lakers prediction NBA · Thursday, March 12
At a glance
The Los Angeles Lakers (40-25) host the Chicago Bulls (27-38) on Thursday, March 12 at 10:30 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 130 – Lakers 142. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Lakers a 70% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Lakers are 21-12 at home and the Bulls are 11-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Lakers and 3-7 for the Bulls (current streaks: Lakers W3, Bulls W1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Lakers, but the Bulls have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Lakers 120 – 113 Bulls, a margin of about 6.5 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+0.9 vs -3.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Lakers' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CHILAL
Top performers
Bulls
Josh GiddeyG · #327pts / gameJosh GiddeyG · #315assists
Leonard MillerF · #119reboundsLakers
Luka DoncicG · #7751pts / gameLuka DoncicG · #779assistsLuka DoncicG · #7710reboundsRecent form
CHILAL
LAL
Team comparison
| CHI | LAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-38 | Record | 40-25 |
| 116.0 | Points scored / game | 115.5 |
| 119.8 | Points allowed / game | 114.5 |
| -3.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.9 |
| W1 | Current streak | W3 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 11-20 road | Home / road record | 21-12 home |
| 39-43 (-1.6) | Last season | 50-32 (+1.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Bulls
Injury report Lakers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.