Bulls vs Warriors prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 10
At a glance
The Golden State Warriors (32-32) host the Chicago Bulls (26-38) on Tuesday, March 10 at 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 130 – Warriors 124. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 66% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Warriors are 19-13 at home and the Bulls are 10-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Warriors and 2-8 for the Bulls (current streaks: Warriors L2, Bulls L1).
The analysis Model
The Warriors are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Warriors 118 – 113 Bulls, a margin of about 5.3 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Warriors played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+1.2 vs -3.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Warriors' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CHIGS
Top performers
Bulls
Matas BuzelisF · #1441pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #317assistsJosh GiddeyG · #313reboundsWarriors
Gui SantosF · #1517pts / game
Brandin PodziemskiG · #27assists
Gary Payton IIG · #011reboundsRecent form
CHIGS
GS
Team comparison
| CHI | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-38 | Record | 32-32 |
| 115.8 | Points scored / game | 114.9 |
| 119.8 | Points allowed / game | 113.4 |
| -3.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.2 |
| L1 | Current streak | L2 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 10-20 road | Home / road record | 19-13 home |
| 39-43 (-1.6) | Last season | 48-34 (+3.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Bulls
Injury report Warriors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.