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Knicks vs Clippers prediction NBA · Monday, March 9

FinalIntuit Dome · Peacock, NBCSN, FanDuel SN SoCal, DAZN (MSG)
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
41-25 · away
Final score
118-126
Projected: 113-112
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
32-32 · home
51% win NYwin LAC 49%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin0.3
Projected total224
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The LA Clippers (31-32) host the New York Knicks (42-24) on Monday, March 9 at 10:00 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 118 – Clippers 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 51% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Clippers are 16-13 at home and the Knicks are 18-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Clippers and 6-4 for the Knicks (current streaks: Clippers W1, Knicks L1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Clippers 112 – 113 Knicks, a margin of about 0.3 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Knicks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (+0.9 vs +5.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' offense (116.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC +0.9 / NY +5.1 per game
-4.2
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Back-to-backKnicks played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Clippers
-0.3

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
20%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Knicks win by 10+
22%

Stat comparison Current season

NYLAC
116.8
Points scored / game
112.6
110.8
Points allowed / game
111.6
42.2 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
35.9 %
3-point %
39.0 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
75.8 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
40.8
26.8
Assists / game
25.0
7.2
Steals / game
12.5
4.4
Blocks / game
4.5
14.8
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Knicks
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3235pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #118assists
Josh HartG · #313rebounds
Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #229pts / game
Kawhi LeonardF · #28assists
Kawhi LeonardF · #27rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NY
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

NYLAC
42-24Record31-32
116.8Points scored / game112.6
110.8Points allowed / game111.6
+5.1Adjusted margin / game+0.9
L1Current streakW1
6-4Last 10 games6-4
18-15 roadHome / road record16-13 home
51-31 (+4.1)Last season50-32 (+4.7)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.