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Wizards vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Sunday, March 8

FinalSmoothie King Center · MNMT, NBA League Pass, GCSEN, Pelicans.com
29% win WSHwin NO 71%
FavoriteNO
Projected margin6.9
Projected total234
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The New Orleans Pelicans (20-45) host the Washington Wizards (16-46) on Sunday, March 8 at 7:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 118 – Pelicans 138. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pelicans a 71% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pelicans are 11-21 at home and the Wizards are 5-24 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Pelicans and 2-8 for the Wizards (current streaks: Pelicans L1, Wizards L7).

The analysis Model

The Pelicans are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Pelicans 121 – 114 Wizards, a margin of about 6.9 points in favor of the Pelicans and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-4.9 vs -9.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pelicans
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NO -4.9 / WSH -9.4 per game
+4.6
Home-court advantagePelicans at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pelicans
+6.9

Scenarios

Pelicans win by 10+
40%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
27%
Wizards win by 10+
9%

Stat comparison Current season

WSHNO
111.5
Points scored / game
114.3
122.6
Points allowed / game
120.1
48.0 %
Field goal %
46.5 %
28.5 %
3-point %
29.0 %
31.6
3-pointers attempted / game
31.0
83.1 %
Free throw %
83.6 %
40.0
Rebounds / game
44.3
25.8
Assists / game
23.5
7.4
Steals / game
12.3
5.6
Blocks / game
4.8
13.6
Turnovers / game
16.5

Top performers

Wizards
Tre JohnsonG · #1220pts / game
Trae YoungG · #38assists
Julian ReeseF · #139rebounds
Pelicans
Trey Murphy IIIF · #2524pts / game
Jeremiah FearsG · #07assists
Saddiq BeyG · #4110rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
WSH
No games played yet.
NO
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

NO lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

WSHNO
16-46Record20-45
111.5Points scored / game114.3
122.6Points allowed / game120.1
-9.4Adjusted margin / game-4.9
L7Current streakL1
2-8Last 10 games5-5
5-24 roadHome / road record11-21 home
18-64 (-12.4)Last season21-61 (-9.4)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

New Orleans Pelicans Injury report Pelicans

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.