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Jazz vs Wizards prediction NBA · Thursday, March 5

FinalCapital One Arena · MNMT, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+, NBA League Pass
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
19-44 · away
Final score
122-112
Projected: 117-119
Washington Wizards
Washington Wizards
16-46 · home
46% win UTAHwin WSH 54%
FavoriteWSH
Projected margin1.3
Projected total236
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Washington Wizards (16-45) host the Utah Jazz (18-44) on Thursday, March 5 at 7:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. Final score: Jazz 122 – Wizards 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Wizards a 54% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Wizards are 11-21 at home and the Jazz are 7-23 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Wizards and 2-8 for the Jazz (current streaks: Wizards L6, Jazz L7).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Wizards 119 – 117 Jazz, a margin of about 1.3 points in favor of the Wizards and a total around 236 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Jazz played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Jazz's offense (116.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Wizards
Team strength (adjusted point differential)WSH -9.4 / UTAH -6.9 per game
-2.6
Home-court advantageWizards at home
+2.3
Back-to-backJazz played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Wizards
+1.3

Scenarios

Wizards win by 10+
24%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Jazz win by 10+
18%

Stat comparison Current season

UTAHWSH
116.7
Points scored / game
111.5
124.8
Points allowed / game
122.6
45.4 %
Field goal %
48.0 %
33.9 %
3-point %
28.5 %
34.8
3-pointers attempted / game
31.6
76.6 %
Free throw %
83.1 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
40.0
26.8
Assists / game
25.8
5.0
Steals / game
7.4
6.4
Blocks / game
5.6
17.0
Turnovers / game
13.6

Top performers

Jazz
Ace BaileyG · #1932pts / game
Isaiah CollierG · #811assists
Kyle FilipowskiF · #214rebounds
Wizards
Julian ReeseF · #1318pts / game
Trae YoungG · #36assists
Julian ReeseF · #1320rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
UTAH
No games played yet.
WSH
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

UTAHWSH
18-44Record16-45
116.7Points scored / game111.5
124.8Points allowed / game122.6
-6.9Adjusted margin / game-9.4
L7Current streakL6
2-8Last 10 games2-8
7-23 roadHome / road record11-21 home
17-65 (-9.3)Last season18-64 (-12.4)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.