Spurs vs Raptors prediction NBA · Wednesday, February 25
At a glance
The Toronto Raptors (34-24) host the San Antonio Spurs (41-17) on Wednesday, February 25 at 7:30 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 110 – Raptors 107. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 58% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Raptors are 16-14 at home and the Spurs are 20-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Raptors and 9-1 for the Spurs (current streaks: Raptors L1, Spurs W9).
The analysis Model
The Spurs are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Raptors 112 – 115 Spurs, a margin of about 2.6 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Raptors played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' offense (117.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SATOR
Top performers
Spurs
Devin VassellG · #2421pts / game
Dylan HarperG · #27assists
Victor WembanyamaF · #18reboundsRaptors
Brandon IngramF · #720pts / gameBrandon IngramF · #74assistsBrandon IngramF · #711reboundsRecent form
SATOR
TOR
Team comparison
| SA | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 41-17 | Record | 34-24 |
| 117.6 | Points scored / game | 113.2 |
| 112.9 | Points allowed / game | 112.4 |
| +4.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.7 |
| W9 | Current streak | L1 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 20-11 road | Home / road record | 16-14 home |
| 34-48 (-2.8) | Last season | 30-52 (-4.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Spurs
Injury report Raptors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.