Grizzlies vs Heat prediction NBA · Saturday, February 21
At a glance
The Miami Heat (30-27) host the Memphis Grizzlies (21-33) on Saturday, February 21 at 8:00 PM ET at Kaseya Center in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 120 – Heat 136. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Heat a 66% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Heat are 16-11 at home and the Grizzlies are 9-18 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Heat and 3-7 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Heat W2, Grizzlies W1).
The analysis Model
The Heat are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Heat 119 – 114 Grizzlies, a margin of about 5.1 points in favor of the Heat and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Heat and the Grizzlies played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MEMMIA
Top performers
Grizzlies
GG JacksonF · #4528pts / game
Scotty Pippen Jr.G · #16assistsGG JacksonF · #459reboundsHeat
Andrew WigginsF · #2228pts / game
Norman PowellG · #246assists
Kel'el WareC · #915reboundsRecent form
MEMMIA
MIA
Team comparison
| MEM | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-33 | Record | 30-27 |
| 116.6 | Points scored / game | 118.1 |
| 117.3 | Points allowed / game | 115.6 |
| -0.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.1 |
| W1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 9-18 road | Home / road record | 16-11 home |
| 48-34 (+4.9) | Last season | 37-45 (+0.6) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Grizzlies
Injury report Heat
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.